Probability

The Probability Program, administered by the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF), supports foundational and applied research in the mathematical discipline of probability. The program resides within NSF's Directorate for Mathematical and Physical Sciences (MPS), specifically the Division of Mathematical Sciences (DMS), and is guided by a mission to foster progress in core probabilistic theory as well as its intersections with other scientific and engineering domains. The program encourages submissions that explore areas such as discrete probability, stochastic processes, limit theory, interacting particle systems, stochastic differential equations, partial differential equations, and Markov processes. This funding opportunity is designed to enhance the development and application of probabilistic methods across the mathematical sciences and beyond. While the program welcomes purely theoretical inquiries, it places a special emphasis on projects that demonstrate clear relevance or application to real-world problems in other scientific or engineering fields. In addition to research grants, the program also supports proposals for conferences, workshops, and educational events such as summer and winter schools, which contribute to the growth and dissemination of probabilistic knowledge. Applicants seeking funding for conferences and similar gatherings must consult the NSF’s dedicated program solicitation for "Conferences and Workshops in the Mathematical Sciences." These proposals must be submitted at least eight months before the intended start date of the event to ensure timely review and decision-making. All proposals, including those for research and conferences, must adhere to NSF’s standard proposal preparation guidelines via either Research.gov or Grants.gov. Submissions that fall outside of designated deadlines or fail to follow proposal instructions may be returned without review. The Probability Program operates under a discretionary grant mechanism and does not require cost sharing or matching funds. Eligibility for this opportunity is broad and unrestricted, allowing participation from a wide array of entities including academic institutions, nonprofit organizations, and for-profit enterprises. There are no geographical limitations specified within the solicitation, implying nationwide availability for qualified applicants. The deadline for full proposal submission is the third Tuesday in September each year, with the next cycle deadline set for September 15, 2026. This recurring cycle allows researchers to plan future submissions well in advance. While the number of awards and funding ceilings are not specified, NSF awards generally reflect the scope and merit of the proposed research. For technical assistance or issues accessing program materials, applicants are advised to contact NSF Grants.gov Support via email at grantsgovsupport@nsf.gov. Programmatic inquiries should be directed to Program Director Tomek Bartoszynski at tbartosz@nsf.gov or by phone at (703) 292-4885. Potential applicants are encouraged to review previously funded projects and program resources available through the NSF website to better align their submissions with program goals and expectations.

Conference proposals must be submitted 8 months in advance of event date